Abstract

The presence of noise and uncertainty in real scenarios makes machine learning a challenging task. Acquisition errors or missing values can lead to models that do not generalize well on new data. Under-fitting and over-fitting can occur because of feature redundancy in high-dimensional problems as well as data scarcity. In these contexts the learning task can show difficulties in extracting relevant and stable information from noisy features or from a limited set of samples with high variance. In some extreme cases, the presence of only aggregated data instead of individual samples prevents the use of instance-based learning. In these contexts, parametric models can be learned through simulations to take into account the inherent stochastic nature of the processes involved. This dissertation includes contributions to different learning problems characterized by noise and uncertainty. In particular, we propose i) a novel approach for robust feature selection based on the neighborhood entropy, ii) an approach based on ensembles for robust salary prediction in the IT job market, and iii) a parametric simulation-based approach for dynamic pricing and what-if analyses in hotel revenue management when only aggregated data are available.